Covid-19 & China’s soft power ambitions
28 April 2020
ANTHEA MULAKALA & HONGBO JI
| DevPolicy Blog & The Asia Foundation
SAN FRANCISCO - For many years, China has been a major contributor to global development and the sustainable development goals.
Much of this Chinese South-South Cooperation has flown under the radar of Western media and traditional aid discourse.
Chinese aid, including its humanitarian assistance, is political and a core element of the country’s foreign policy.
In fact, much of Chinese assistance is not traditional aid, but a mix of aid, concessional loans and other mechanisms to provide needed infrastructure and assistance to countries of interest to China.
The Belt and Road Initiative and Covid-19 have brought Chinese South-South Cooperation out of the shadows and into the spotlight, where it has been scrutinised, challenged, lauded, and even derided.
The mixed response to China’s Covid-19 assistance has been useful to analyse. To some observers, this assistance is a needed and sought-after contribution to countries with few resources, weak health systems, and emergency situations.
To others, primarily in the West, it is seen as China taking advantage of a tragedy of its own making to extend its soft power. Covid-19 has become a factor in the competition between the US and China over who is the better global citizen.
Some commentaries have even interpreted China’s humanitarian response as an attempt to whitewash its internal missteps or “cover-ups” during the early days of the crisis by portraying itself as a country that is handling the crisis well at home while being an international benefactor abroad.
China’s pandemic response provides new insights into the future of China’s South-South Cooperation and its aspirations to play a leading role in shaping global governance.
China seized an early opportunity to leverage its soft power through a comprehensive and well-targeted humanitarian response.
The Chinese government describes its global response as “the most intensive and wide-ranging emergency humanitarian operation since the founding of the People’s Republic of China in 1949.”
Humanitarianism is embedded in Chinese culture and history. China’s global experience has included responses to some of the most dramatic domestic and international crises of the past decade, including the 2004 tsunami, the 2003 SARS epidemic, the 2015 Nepal earthquake, and the 2014 and 2018 Ebola outbreaks.
These experiences readied China to be a first responder as Covid-19 gripped Italy.
By 31 March, the Chinese government had provided 120 countries and four international organisations with surgical masks, N95 respirators, protective suits, nucleic acid test kits, ventilators, and other assistance, including loans.
At the sub-national level, Chinese local governments sent medical items to their sister cities in more than 50 countries, and Chinese provinces dispatched medical teams to neighbours in need, including Guangxi to Cambodia, Yunnan to Laos and Myanmar, Xinjiang to Pakistan, and Fujian to the Philippines.
China has used video conferencing to share experiences and provide expertise on testing methods, contact tracing, prevention and control measures, clinical treatment, and asymptomatic cases in partnership with the ASEAN Secretariat, The Arab League, and individual countries including India, Malaysia, and Russia.
When the next global disaster strikes, China will have already demonstrated its agility and readiness to play a significant role in humanitarian efforts.
Historically, Chinese South-South Cooperation has emphasised government-to-government transactions, unlike traditional aid, which relies more significantly on civil society partners to deliver humanitarian assistance.
Less by Chinese design than by urgent circumstance, Covid-19 has highlighted the diversity and potential of China’s cooperation channels.
It cannot be denied that China has vast resources, and the large scale of its humanitarian assistance has proven to be a successful soft-power strategy, regardless of its skeptics and critics.
Chinese customs statistics show that between 1 and 12 April, China exported USD2 billion in preventive and diagnostic medical materials.
Additionally, Chinese companies, both state-owned and private, especially those specialising in medical supplies, financing, and logistics, have donated medical materials to over 100 countries and international organisations.
Companies with overseas operations—e.g., China Communications Construction Company (Malaysia) and the Laos branch of Three Gorges China Hydropower—have provided medical supplies or virus-prevention materials for local populations.
China’s tech sector (AI, 5G, big data) enabled quick hospital construction, rapid and widespread access to information and telemedicine, online education, and remote working, even internationally.
Chinese private philanthropies have also been active.
The Alibaba and Jack Ma Foundations donated medical supplies to almost 100 countries, shared diagnostic manuals in eight languages on the internet and social media, and launched an online, real-time exchange platform for frontline public health workers.
Chinese civil society organisations have also ramped up their efforts. The China Red Cross Foundation is mobilising funding from the Chinese public and business enterprises to provide supplies and logistical support to Chinese medical teams.
The China Foundation for Poverty Alleviation, one of a few Chinese NGOs with offices in partner countries, is installing up to 180 handwashing stations in Nepal and working with local partners to provide sanitisers, handwashing facilities, and virus prevention training.
Multilaterally, the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB), of which China is the largest shareholder, has created a US $5 billion crisis recovery fund to support countries and businesses during the pandemic.
Following two recovery loans, to the cities of Beijing and Chongqing, the AIIB is now considering similar packages for Indonesia and India.
China’s increased support to and collaboration with the World Health Organisation, and China’s position as a major contributor to the UN’s general budget, has shrouded the UN agency in a cloud of suspicion and partisanship.
Post-pandemic, China should continue to maximise the diversity of its cooperation channels and continue to collaborate with the private sector, philanthropies, multilateral agencies, and civil society actors in its South-South Cooperation.
The participation of China and other global powers will preserve their seats at the table of multilateral agencies and help to uphold the standards of shared responsibility, accountability, and transparency.
Covid-19 is already leaving its mark on the Belt and Road Initiative. Several projects are at a standstill, much of the Chinese workforce has been repatriated, and with economies spiraling downwards, partner countries will struggle to finance existing debt burdens.
China, given its own economic slowdown, was already concerned about debt sustainability for some partner countries and maintaining the pace of BRI. But in hardship there is also opportunity, and China’s Covid-19 response has reinforced the BRI’s partnership network.
For example, through the Health Silk Road initiative, China has extended Covid-19 assistance to 120 countries while enhancing its soft power diplomacy.
Covid-19 represents a pivotal opportunity for China to shift gears and recalibrate BRI using lessons learned from its pandemic response.
China can focus on local capacity building, rely more on local labour and resources, consider debt flexibility/forgiveness, increase knowledge sharing and learning around international safeguards and standards, and expand its BRI efforts to include connectivity, health, and disaster management.
Covid-19 may usher in a new era of global governance, marked by shared responsibility for global public goods, multilateral action on the SDGs, and reciprocal partnerships. It could also see countries increasingly turn inward, building barriers rather than bridges to cooperation.
Prior to the pandemic, China was already positioning itself to provide leadership on global issues. Covid-19 may have provided a new opportunity for China to realise these ambitions.
At the same time, suspicions run high that China’s response is part of its grand strategy for global domination.
To counter these misgivings, China will need to demonstrate a commitment to multilateralism and transparency.
If China continues to display solidarity with partner countries, pursue a collaborative approach with domestic and international stakeholders, and utilise its soft power to help steer the world out of this crisis, it may indeed find itself commanding the respect and influence that it desires.
China has rushed into the philanthropic void created by the USA effectively vacating the position of "leader of the free world" thanks to the appalling Trump administration's total lack of interest in anything happening in the world's "shit hole" countries.
This arrogance and folly will have grave consequences for the future ability of the USA to exert a meaningful influence in international affairs.
Far from making America great again, Trump has created an opening for the Chinese to expand their influence and use their usual "carrot and stick" diplomacy to achieve their strategic objectives.
Australia has seen an example of this approach recently when the Chinese ambassador threatened economic retaliation in response to calls for an independent and open inquiry into the origins of the C19 virus.
As I have written before, the Chinese government is using the same tactics it used in the country's imperial past to subjugate lesser countries to its will.
Adherence to China's wishes will rewarded while refusal to do so will be punished in some way. This has been the Chinese modus operandi for centuries past.
It pays to keep firmly in mind that the deeply ingrained and unshakeable Chinese view of itself and its manifest destiny is that it is the centre and apex of civilization and thus must necessarily be the world's dominant power.
According to this view, the last 150 years has been an aberration, the so-called "century of humiliation" at the hands of the European barbarians.
Now the wheel of fate has turned and the barbarians have made themselves, through a combination of hubris, greed and naivety, hostage to the vast economic power of a resurgent China.
Make no mistake, the C19 pandemic has revealed the weaknesses inherent in the West's over reliance on China for access to the manufactured goods and intellectual property required to operate its own economy and society.
We have made ourselves vassals to China to a startling degree without even realising it. This has been the unforeseen impact of globalisation.
A massive reorientation of the West's economic system is now required to correct this dangerously destabilising imbalance.
We must make ourselves much more self reliant in all respects: reliance upon a long and vulnerable supply chain is the height of folly.
Donald Trump, for all his grievous failings, has not been wrong about this at least.
Posted by: Chris Overland | 29 April 2020 at 09:57 AM
"The essence of being human is that one does not seek perfection" - George Orwell
Posted by: Bernard Corden | 28 April 2020 at 07:28 PM
Dear Bernard, if humanitarianism can have so many meanings that any of the choices is 'on the money', then providing the selected definition is devoid of a leaven of heaven, the broad spread of the literary loaf along with loafers, forms a circle of back patting, or if moving is that pattering, or as with this note, petering?
Of ethic, humanitarianism includes: "the doctrine that man can achieve perfection through his own resources."
Posted by: Lindsay F Bond | 28 April 2020 at 03:28 PM
Humanitarianism embedded into China's culture and history?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1989_Tiananmen_Square_protests
Posted by: Bernard Corden | 28 April 2020 at 12:53 PM
I imagine they've already run an investigation and know exactly how it started Paul. They just don't want to share it with anyone else. Admitting fault is anathema to any politician or political party. Trump does it and so does Xi Jinping.
What seems to be standing in the way of a new renaissance after the crisis is greedy capitalism. That will be an interesting battle.
Posted by: Philip Fitzpatrick | 28 April 2020 at 10:12 AM
Yes Paul, it does. A wonderful piece of self-congratulatory propaganda.
Posted by: Peter Sandery | 28 April 2020 at 10:04 AM
All that philanthropic zeal and yet it balks at a simple investigation of how the Covid19 started with a constructive view of trying to ensure it doesn't happen again?
Kinda begs the question doesn't it?
Posted by: Paul Oates | 28 April 2020 at 08:43 AM