Does it really matter if PNG goes bust?
01 May 2020
TUMBY BAY - “Papua New Guinea’s brew of debt-laden government, poor health services and social fragmentation means it is uniquely placed to suffer at the hands of coronavirus.” So says ABC journalist Melissa Clark.
What she is referring to is the possibility of PNG becoming a failed state because of the coronavirus.
It is worth noting that similar questions have been asked for different reasons ever since PNG became independent.
In a nation that is run by a political class with overwhelming propensities for kleptomania, bribery and a distinct lack of anything approaching a social conscience, this is not an unreasonable expectation.
What seems to surprise many commentators is the fact that whenever PNG reaches the brink it somehow manages to step back just in time.
Or perhaps, to rephrase that statement, someone always seems to come along to pull it back from the brink.
Usually that someone is Australia, which doesn’t want a basket case nation on its doorstep. At other times it’s international organisation like the International Monetary Fund or World Bank.
Lately, the rescue squad has included China.
So whenever PNG stuffs up it goes running to these countries and organisations like a spoilt child with a grazed knee.
So ingrained is that process that it has become the accepted modus operandi for successive governments and prime ministers.
Papua New Guinea doesn’t seem to be able to manage money, especially other people’s money. Its politicians regard the money it collects from royalties, taxes and aid as a honeypot. Their honeypot.
That, of course, is a malady affecting many developing nations.
It is what makes the difference between a well-run nation with fully functioning health care systems, extensive infrastructure and good educational facilities and one with a bloated elite surrounded by a poverty stricken populace.
Why this is so in PNG is a mystery given the friendliness, warmth and generosity of its ordinary people.
These people largely live in isolation from their government. What the government does is of little consequence to the average Papua New Guinean.
These fine folk just get on with life, cultivating their gardens, looking after each other and making do as best they can.
If the PNG government ceased to exist tomorrow it would make little difference to most villagers.
If coronavirus pushed the PNG economy over the brink, where it has tottered for so long, it’s hard to see it making any difference at all.
There is little doubt that coronavirus is going to ravage PNG. It will spill in from West Papua and run rampant through the nation. Many people will die.
But PNG will survive. It will develop herd immunity and pull through, chastened and bruised but still in one piece.
Whether its government and its economy crashes in the process is largely irrelevant.
That will affect relatively few fat cats and elites and the odd multinational rent seeker. People that PNG doesn’t really need anyway.
PNG might even come out of the other side of the crisis in better shape than it entered it.
The rapacious loggers have ceased operations because of the virus and so too have many other natural resource exploiters. That may be a good sign.
Maybe the virus will purge Papua New Guinea of such people.
It’s even being suggested that a knight in shining armour might emerge, a true leader of the people, to pick up the shattered pieces and craft a new nation which will serve everyone and not just the privileged few.
Maybe the coronavirus crisis is the crisis that Papua New Guinea has to have?
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Posted by: Philip Fitzpatrick | 01 May 2020 at 03:42 PM
We are constantly bombarded with sensationalised media articles and video clips of how the so-called developed societies need to employ police services to ensure some members of the population adhere to common sense rules and clear public health standards.
I wonder if there has really been substantial advancement in societies around the world? The PNG village existed quite well without a police service but instead had the inculcated cultural rules and superstitions that mostly kept people in line.
After 8 or 9 weeks in isolation and ‘lockdown’, many in Australia are ready for a relaxation of the rules and a return to what is being classed as ‘the new normal’. Yet isn’t what is being contemplated just a return to where we left off when this particular pandemic first affected our lives?
Shouldn’t we take time to take a few breaths and think about what has actually happened and try a rethink of why?
In the last three decades, much of the so called ‘developed world’, under a collective concept of ‘globalisation and a world village’, exported away it’s industry and opted for a more sedate life.
Why work in grubby manufacturing or heavy industry when you could aspire to serving café latte and muffins? The ethic of hard work and technical expertise was effectively outsourced overseas to where labour was so much cheaper and the industrial working conditions didn’t create expensive overheads.
In the latter half of the 20th Century, the locus of manufacturing cheaper and mass-produced items drifted away from the US and Europe to Japan, then Korea, Mexico, Bangladesh, China, Thailand, Malaysia, and so the list goes on.
Can anyone see a link here and start connecting the dots? The expectation of being able to buy cheap imported goods is also rather familiar to those who work in agriculture.
Farmers have become disconnected with the consumer who expects to buy their food in neat little cardboard and plastic packages that can be picked up after a tiring morning sipping a double shot short black in order to restore the effort of simply getting out of bed.
Will the competition for resources (food and water), and room to expand now be resumed without too much painful ‘navel gazing’ or have we always been in competition for available but finite resources, but have deluded ourselves that when everyone attains a non-specified but acceptable standard of living (like the one we have become accustomed to), this competition will naturally just evaporate?
Posted by: Paul Oates | 01 May 2020 at 12:28 PM