KUNDIAWA - There was some doubt in the sixties about how a country of 800 different tribes speaking 800 languages would come together under one united government.
These feelings were expressed freely by Australians as well as New Guineans.
Many expressed that New Guineans themselves were not developed and that the economy and infrastructure were not ready for self-rule.
However, outside forces, including the United Nations, were too great and Papua New Guinea cut ties with Australia starting in 1972 with self-government and then independence on 16 September 1975.
And so began the common talk of PNG's independence being given on a golden plate.
Based on these facts, and how the MV PNG had sailed this far after 47 years, debates take place at every kona of our society and abroad.
My solemn feeling is personal and does not represent any organisation. This is my prediction.
PNG will disintegrate into many states. It is inevitable.
The national government will try to calm the anger and movements from the regions by giving more autonomy, both financial and political, but the pressure will be so great that it will give in to these demands.
The Bougainvilleans have always wanted to become a different state. They are on the verge of getting it now.
The Mataungan movement of Rabaul is still an undercurrent. They will annex with New Ireland, Manus and West New Britain.
Papua Besena is still a strong faction. They believe to this day that Papua, based on traditional ties and being a British colony, is not part of the bigger New Guinea.
All these regions hate the rest of PNG, especially how we Highlanders conduct business, run politics and especially our caveman tribal killings and destruction that gives a terrible image to PNG as a whole.
Given the opportunity, they will all go.
That leaves Momase and the Highlands. Without any other choice, Momase will also go. It too doesn't like the way our Highlands leaders conduct themselves.
Our greed, destructive and animal attitudes in their cities and towns are hated by these people.
Within the Highlands, the different regions have really strong views about how they see things, the greed for power and resources is displayed by our leaders, endemic corruption is practised openly and, even more, our Highlands leaders are never united.
These leaders beat their chest so loudly at every opportunity and steal as much as they can when the opportunity presents.
I have coloured a very bad picture? Given a bad name? This is the bloody truth! Accept it and continue reading!
As a Simbu I speak for many. I simply hate the way the politicians from our upper highlands provinces conduct themselves.
In fact I believe the rest of PNG don't like us because of the way the people up north behave.
So in that situation, Simbu will not go to bed with these others. Simbu will most likely form a nation with culturally closer and friendlier people - the Jiwaka and the people of the Eastern Highlands.
Seventy years ago, some politicians in Australia said New Guinea is not ready for sovereignty.
They said the island would need 100 more years before its people were ready for independence.
Early Highlands leaders Tei Abal, Kondom Agaundo and others expressed the same view.
They said only when I can produce automobiles and have a mint that can produce our own money I am ready for independence. Now I am not ready, don't force it on me.
Abal, Agaundo and other leaders were taken to Australia and saw the way people lived and conducted business, saw how governments are run and witnessed the well-developed infrastructure.
So they knew exactly what they wanted – and knew that New Guinea was not ready.
The piece just above may be irrelevant in the context of separation of the regions from the central government, but what these paragraphs and opening lines explain are the underlying reason why our nation is sinking after five decades of self-rule.
Surely I am not an academic, but these are my personal views of how I see my beautiful country heading, having self-studied our nation's history and followed closely our development and progress since 1975.
Please comment wisely.