US defence deal will weaken PNG sovereignty
The world has always been in a state of chaos

New colonisation of the White Man’s Pacific

Jacksons International AIrport  Port Moresby's (peace-on-earth.org)
Jacksons International AIrport Port Moresby (peace-on-earth.org)

JOHN MENADUE
| Pearls & Irritations

SYDNEY - And the anti-China media beat-ups continue, this time over possible Chinese naval bases in the South Pacific.

The anti-China campaign never stops: Hong Kong; Xinjiang; debt traps; the tennis player Peng Shuai, who was ‘disappeared’; Covid policies that were too strict and then too permissive; a property collapse; a shrinking economy now growing too fast; and renewed beat ups about Chinese military bases in the South Pacific.

The ‘experts’ in our white man’s media say nothing of course about the 800 US military bases around the world, including many that directly threaten China, or that in AUKUS we are cooperating with the US to make China more vulnerable to a US nuclear first strike.

In similar vein the US destroys the NordStream gas pipeline but scarcely a mention by our media except to run the thread bare US denial.

In our media there is the assumption, never spelled out, that China will behave as aggressively and violently as the US has done for centuries in endless foreign wars.

But China is not behaving that way. It does not militarily threaten the US and its allies. However, it refuses to accept the world hegemony that the US insists for itself.

The current anti-China hysteria is that China could establish navy bases in the South Pacific.

Does any of this stand up?

But first some necessary background and context.

The West, including Australia, has plundered the South Pacific for centuries.

As Jerry Grey described it in ‘Nuclear testing and colonisation explain Pacific Island nation’s alignment with China’:

“The region experienced 200 years of land theft, resource exploitation, cultural appropriation though the influence of Christian missionaries, civil disorder, discriminatory legislation, labour abuses including slavery, forced migration of islanders out of, and foreigners into, the region.

“Some might say the region couldn’t have been treated much worse; but they would be wrong.

“When peace finally arrived after the Second World War, it was time for the region to start recovering… But France, Britain and USA had other ideas…

“They each selected areas with local populations, thriving fishing industries and huge potential for future tourism. All three were devastated by the testing of new weapons.

“Some parts of the region became, and remain to this day, nuclear wastelands. From 1946 to 1958 the US exploded 67 nuclear bombs on islands such as Kiribati, Bikini Atoll and Enewatak Atoll, as well as several bombs simply dropped into the Pacific Ocean.

“The French focused on Moruroa Atoll until it became too contaminated for crew safety so they moved to Fangataufa Atoll. The United Kingdom, used a couple of Kiribati’s islands before focusing on Australia’s deserts and the Montebello Islands for their tests.

“Some of the waste sites left behind pose severe risks. Nuclear waste storage dumps are deteriorating and likely to leak materials with, according to an Australian ABC report, a half-life of over 24,000 years.”

The Western colonial attitude continues with soothing words but little real action on climate change and rising sea levels, problems caused overwhelmingly by rich countries such as Australia.

We patronise the people of the region by calling islanders ‘family’ and the region as our ‘backyard’.

With their experience of Westerners it is not surprising that many South Pacific countries seek improved relations with an emerging China.

The media beat up a few years ago was the Chinese debt trap. It hasn’t happened despite Julie Bishop’s propaganda which was embraced by our anti-China media.

If there are debt traps, blame must rest principally with the IMF and the World Bank for their failures.

In 2018, David Wroe in the Sydney Morning Herald warned us about a Chinese naval base in Vanuatu. It didn’t happen.

The Vanuatu government said that it “was not aware of any such proposal”.

It seems that the Vanuatu government was interested in a new wharf for cruise ships, so our pliant media assumed that this was a front for the Chinese navy.

With the same anti-China hysteria in May this year, Matthew Knott, also in the Sydney Morning Herald, told us without any hard evidence but clear inference that:

“A base in the Solomon Islands or Vanuatu would bring the Chinese military within just 2,000 kilometres of the Australian mainland and upend the current balance of power in the South Pacific.”

Matthew Knott’s claim to fame is that he was one of the seven who gave us the recent infamous Red Alert in the Herald and The Age.

But would the Chinese really want a military base in the Solomon Islands to threaten us? Did Matthew Knott ever think of asking himself that question instead of falling again and again for all the Washington inspired anti-China hysteria?

In fact the threat to Australia would be minimal because China would not be able to defend the 7,000 kilometre long supply line back to China.

And in between are two very large US bases in Guam and the Marshall Islands. It seems that facts and logic count for little with Matthew Knott.

The worst that could happen is that China sees a military base in the region as a signal that the Pacific is no longer a US lake. But the military value to China would be minimal.

Independent countries in the South Pacific must find some satisfaction in playing China off against the US and Australia with their dubious records in the region. Think of our slave trade in bringing Kanaks to Queensland.

The best way for Australia to establish legitimate influence in the region is not by acting as a proxy for the US military but by negotiating with some regional countries entry rights to Australia for their nationals for study, work, reside and become Australian citizens.

That is something that we can do and China and the US would find very difficult.

As Percy Allan put it in ‘Winning hearts and minds in the Pacific Islands:

“The best way for Australia to convince the Pacific Islands they are part of our family is to sign a Compact of Free Association with those too small to be economically viable and not aligned to the USA or France.

“Such a Compact would give their citizens special entry rights to Australia in return for them not accommodating foreign military bases or security guards.

“That is something China could not match since indigenous islanders don’t aspire to live in Asia.

“On everything else – aid, investment, security forces, gratuities, etc., China can outbid us. On bribes, both China and Taiwan competed for official recognition and so ensnared Islander politicians in graft and compromised good governance.

“There is nothing we can do to keep China out of the Pacific Ocean. It has freedom of navigation rights just as we insist our navy does in the waters off China.

“We do not recognise the East and South China Seas as belonging to China’s sphere of influence so we cannot expect China to accept the Solomon and Coral Seas and beyond as part of Australia and New Zealand’s ‘patch’.”

David Wroe and Matthew Knott and others should seriously rethink what they are writing.

The Royal Commission on the media called for by Kevin Rudd, Malcolm Turnbull and now by Senator Hanson Young is long overdue.

And it should not be just about Rupert Murdoch.

The parlous state of Australian journalism and the Canberra Press Gallery should be high on its agenda.

Comments

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Lindsay F Bond

Let's put the case for information and discerning truth.

"Hong Kong's Ming Pao newspaper reported that more than 40 per cent of video materials and books involving 'political themes' had been removed from public libraries since 2020."

https://www.abc.net.au/news/2023-05-17/hong-kong-library-books-violate-laws-tiananmen-square-massacre/102355696

Michael Dom

A very long article and I am sure it's laced with wisdom and lined with the knowledge of the weary learned.

I also note that the erudite Chris Overland has responded, but have not bothered to read that either.

I have read only the title and first sentence.

An as a 'blackman' I will not read the article any further unless there is anything within it that will convince me that I should trust a government that arose to power by slaughtering tens of millions (possibly billions) of its own people.

Save that anti-China / anti-USA rhetoric for the woketards of all races. This is about shared values NOT race.

Chris Overland

I am a great admirer of John Menadue, who I regard as something of a national treasure. I am therefore quite despondent to see that he apparently has bought into the leftist narrative that China is good and the USA is bad.

This approach to foreign policy is reminiscent of the old Maoist doctrines that were so popular during my time as an undergraduate student in the mid 1970's.

As is usually the case, the 'truth' about the world's two competing great powers, in so far as we can discern it from the blizzard of misinformation spewing out from both mainstream and social media, is hard to discern.

Take the Nord Stream gas line explosion. It is by no means clear who was responsible for this although it seems probable that state actors carried out the sabotage. The problem in attributing responsibility for this act is that hard evidence is very scarce.

Consequently, for John to apparently uncritically accept that the USA is responsible seems to me quite unwise.

History suggests that the truth about such events, when finally discovered, is almost invariably complicated and even murky in nature. Assumptions about some sort of carefully calibrated plot are almost invariably wrong.

Sometimes, individuals take actions that their leaders either know nothing about or have simply misunderstood. President Ronald Reagan's rather hazy grasp of what Colonel Oliver North was up to with the Iranian regime is a case in point.

The simplistic narrative that China is in some way a force for good or, at worst, an appropriate counterweight for US imperialism seems to me to be flying in the face of history.

All great powers have interests that they will pursue by fair means or foul and the Chinese and USA are no exceptions to this rule.

China plainly intends to be the dominant power in the Asia Pacific region and the USA plainly intends to retain its dominance in the region. This is the central dynamic playing out in our 'backyard' and all of the governments involved know this perfectly well.

The question for everyone is what we can or should do in such circumstances. Is there any 'middle ground' that we can sensibly occupy?

The Australian government's policy position has shifted from one of strident criticism of China during the Morrison government's tenure to a much more nuanced approach summarised as cooperating with China where we can and disagreeing where we must.

China is a large, autocratic power currently engaged in a massive build up of its military forces, combined with a large scale modernisation program. It also is developing a 'blue water' navy with the intention of projecting its power well beyond its borders. This is not an encouraging development nor is it purely a response to US power. It reflects the clearly stated ambitions of the ruling Communist Party and its autocratic leader Xi Jinping.

The USA is reacting to this as might be expected although it remains conflicted about the defence of Taiwan. This appears to be the likely ignition point of any direct conflict between the two great powers which, in truth, both would prefer to avoid.

For the rest of us, we have to make a decision about whether to engage in such conflict if it should occur. This is a 'wicked' policy problem because there is no obvious good or right solution to it. A decision either way will have both immediate and long term consequences, none of which seem likely to be good.

Bearing all this in mind, it seems to me that debate about this profoundly tricky situation needs more nuance and much less obvious rhetoric, exaggeration and even wishful thinking.

Claims about a supposed reassertion of white colonialism in the Pacific based upon erroneous interpretations of history are not only wrong but serve no useful purpose in understanding what is going on or devising some sort of plausible means of at least restraining the actions of the two great powers now manoeuvring for ascendancy in the Asia Pacific.

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