If Putin sees his mighty army collapsing, his desperation to retain power may lead to more of the bad decision-making that has been the hallmark of the Russian conduct of the war so far. The use of tactical nuclear weapons may become his last resort
Ukraine troops advance on Kherson and other Russian-occupied areas
ADELAIDE - Since I wrote this piece (Sachs’ & the New Appeasers have it wrong, 20 July 2022), the appeasers have become silent.
The appalling atrocities committed by the Russians in Ukraine have revealed the true nature of the Russian regime.
Vladimir Putin is not a wronged and misunderstood man.
He is an old school imperialist of the worst kind.
You do not do deals with such a man and expect them to be honoured.
At present, the Ukrainians continue to advance in the Donbas and near Kherson.
They appear to have mastered manoeuvre warfare, something the Russian army seems incapable of replicating.
Strategic and tactical ineptitude by the Russians, combined with severe logistical and personnel problems, renders the Russian army highly vulnerable to a fast-moving enemy force.
As of today, Ukrainian troops had retaken more territory in regions illegally annexed by Russia, and continue to advance near the southern city of Kherson.
They were also moving towards Russian-held Luhansk in the east.
"There are new liberated settlements in several regions," said president Volodymyr Zelensky.
While it is too early to be sure, there are clear signs the Russian army is crumbling in the face of the better led, better armed and better motivated Ukrainians.
The implications of this are profound, both for Ukraine and Russia as well as for the rest of the world.
If Putin sees his mighty army collapsing, his desperation to retain power may lead to even more of the very bad decision making that has been the hallmark of the Russian conduct of this war so far.
Colonel Markus Reisner has emerged as one of the most credible experts analysing the Russia Ukraine War
The use of tactical nuclear weapons may become his last resort.
Consequently, whether we have fired a bullet or not, we are all invested in the outcome of this appalling conflict.
For readers interested in military matters who want an objective and dispassionate assessment of events in Ukraine, I recommend the commentaries posted on YouTube by Colonel Markus Reisner PhD, commander of the Austrian Army's principal staff training college and its elite Vienna Guards Regiment.